Weather Decisions
Probabilistic weather forecasting (HDD/CDD, precip, wind) + market mapping to generate trade signals for thin/low-volume assets.
PythonProbabilistic ModelingMarkets
Problem
Weather derivatives and related assets often have thin liquidity. Probabilistic weather forecasts can generate trade signals when mapped to appropriate market instruments.
Approach
- Probabilistic forecasting of heating degree days (HDD), cooling degree days (CDD), precipitation, and wind
- Market mapping to identify thin/low-volume assets and proxy baskets
- Signal generation for prediction markets and related instruments
Tech Stack
Python, probabilistic modeling, market data integration.